Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 253.081315 285.433785 321.334766 364.305631 414.572126 471.791906 542.254063
2025-05-11 199.084591 240.177001 289.776628 354.735303 438.578475 544.556370 690.929455
2025-05-18 169.363654 213.315829 269.340829 347.255626 454.854087 601.347331 821.515539
2025-05-25 154.893141 202.225020 265.394676 357.902646 493.479736 690.856267 1011.727868
2025-06-01 140.325629 188.537573 255.307873 357.317787 514.434885 756.638670 1178.462363
2025-06-08 126.948024 174.665214 242.822869 350.751934 524.242919 805.441725 1326.412038
2025-06-15 117.800456 165.700967 236.127026 351.502743 544.746576 873.719000 1522.104769
2025-06-22 107.992673 154.709702 225.068886 343.681428 549.439785 914.946572 1675.915595
2025-06-29 100.952406 147.203390 218.508416 342.139886 564.210885 975.992264 1883.010125
2025-07-06 92.154843 136.208588 205.359943 327.903118 554.128160 988.188779 1988.978141
2025-07-13 89.550183 134.749646 207.415244 340.007039 594.029950 1104.841752 2360.437464
2025-07-20 87.513316 133.990416 210.470882 354.101900 639.645516 1241.824644 2823.671458
2025-07-27 83.135437 129.129630 206.296160 354.764105 659.350647 1328.608886 3192.766246
2025-08-03 77.546124 121.839919 197.318598 345.409897 657.130278 1365.740122 3439.555277
2025-08-10 72.826391 115.698585 189.862361 338.175058 658.343044 1411.164498 3727.391995
2025-08-17 71.043637 114.510321 191.200475 348.479074 699.638946 1563.955702 4413.570868
2025-08-24 67.920069 110.724300 187.428001 347.913116 716.051627 1656.498630 4940.696556
2025-08-31 64.312987 105.833418 181.203295 341.558866 717.886554 1710.271475 5353.684081
2025-09-07 61.865274 102.887080 178.444832 342.285523 736.971441 1816.788740 6022.661711
2025-09-14 58.628881 98.292709 172.167035 334.715225 734.294723 1859.482039 6453.853650
2025-09-21 56.314561 95.279190 168.776633 333.223007 747.015828 1952.052017 7155.893121
2025-09-28 52.828944 89.874484 160.288055 319.439357 725.650588 1933.336250 7334.544705
2025-10-05 52.244283 89.944019 162.800131 331.158319 774.549138 2154.911016 8839.649560